Queensland Weather Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Tropical Cyclone Niran

Issued at 10:42 pm AEST Tuesday 2 March 2021. Refer to Tropical Cyclone Advice Number 17.


Community Threat

Warning Zone
Gales within 24 hours
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Watch Zone
Gales from 24-48 hours
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Past Cyclone Details

Past Location and Intensity Number
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Past Track and Movement
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Current Cyclone Details

Current Location and Intensity Number
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Very Destructive Winds
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Destructive Winds
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Gale Force Winds
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Forecast Cyclone Details
(Up to 72 hours from time of issue)

Forecast Location and Intensity Number
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Very Destructive Wind Boundary
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Destructive Wind Boundary
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Gale Force Wind Boundary
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Most Likely Future Track
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Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre
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The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.

Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.

This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.


Headline:

Tropical cyclone Niran, category 2, remains slow moving off the north Queensland coast.


Areas affected:

Warning zone: None.

Watch zone: Cape Melville to Lucinda, including Cooktown, Cairns, and Innisfail.

Cancelled zones: None.


Details of Tropical Cyclone Niran at 10:00 pm AEST:

Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 35 kilometres of 14.6 degrees South, 147.8 degrees East , 335 kilometres northeast of Cairns and 295 kilometres east northeast of Cooktown .
Movement: slow moving .

Tropical cyclone Niran is expected to remain slow-moving off the north Queensland coast while gradually intensifying over the next two days.

Coastal crossing of the cyclone is not expected. However, as the cyclone develops, or if it drifts slightly westwards, it may cause gales about exposed coastal and island communities between Cape Melville and Lucinda overnight on Wednesday.

On Thursday, the cyclone is expected to adopt a southeasterly track and accelerate away from the coast.


Hazards:

GALES with gusts to 100km/h may develop about exposed coastal and island communities between Cape Melville and Lucinda overnight on Wednesday, depending on the movement and development of the cyclone.


Recommended Action:

People between Cape Melville and Lucinda should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases.

- Information is available from your local government

- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)

- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).

Details:

  Time (AEST) Intensity Category Latitude
(decimal deg.)
Longitude
(decimal deg.)
Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
0hr 10 pm March 2 2 14.6S 147.8E 35
+6hr 4 am March 3 2 14.7S 147.7E 75
+12hr 10 am March 3 2 14.8S 147.6E 105
+18hr 4 pm March 3 2 14.8S 147.5E 125
+24hr 10 pm March 3 3 14.7S 147.4E 140
+36hr 10 am March 4 3 14.7S 147.8E 180
+48hr 10 pm March 4 3 15.1S 149.1E 225
+60hr 10 am March 5 3 16.1S 151.4E 275
+72hr 10 pm March 5 3 17.5S 154.5E 375

Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye


Next Issue

The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Wednesday

IDQ20008

Tropical Cyclone Warning

Issued at Tue Mar 02 23:54:07 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Wed Mar 03 00:53:59 AEDT 2021

Ocean Wind Warning for Metarea 10 Northeast for Tropical Cyclone

Cyclone Name Niran

Next warning will be issued by 1900 UTC 02 March 2021.

IDQ20023

Tropical Cyclone Warning

Issued at Tue Mar 02 23:41:23 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Wed Mar 03 00:41:16 AEDT 2021

Tropical Cyclone Advice for Queensland

Cyclone Name Niran

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 17

Details

Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour. Location: within 35 kilometres of 14.6 degrees South 147.8 degrees East, estimated to be 335 kilometres northeast of Cairns and 295 kilometres east northeast of Cooktown. Movement: slow moving. Tropical cyclone Niran is expected to remain slow-moving off the north Queensland coast while gradually intensifying over the next two days. Coastal crossing of the cyclone is not expected. However, as the cyclone develops, or if it drifts slightly westwards, it may cause gales about exposed coastal and island communities between Cape Melville and Lucinda overnight on Wednesday. On Thursday, the cyclone is expected to adopt a southeasterly track and accelerate away from the coast.

Headline

Tropical cyclone Niran, category 2, remains slow moving off the north Queensland coast.

Warning Zones None.

Watch Zones Cape Melville to Lucinda, including Cooktown, Cairns, and Innisfail.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Niran at 10:00 pm AEST:

Impact GALES with gusts to 100km/h may develop about exposed coastal and island communities between Cape Melville and Lucinda overnight on Wednesday, depending on the movement and development of the cyclone.

Community Alert People between Cape Melville and Lucinda should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases. - Information is available from your local government - For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au) - For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).

Cancellation Zones None.

The next advice will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Wednesday 03 March.

IDQ20035

Fire Weather Warning

Issued at Tue Mar 02 16:54:30 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Thu Mar 04 00:59:59 AEDT 2021

Central West forecast district

The Rural Fire Service Queensland advises you to:

Action your Bushfire Survival Plan now.

Monitor the fire and weather situation through your local radio station, www.ruralfire.qld.gov.au and www.bom.gov.au.

Call 000 (Triple Zero) in an emergency.

Synoptic Situation

Hot conditions, relatively dry air, and strong winds through central districts are forecast to create Severe fire danger in the Central West District, with locally Severe fire danger in the southern part of the Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders District.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Wednesday.

IDQ20085

Marine Wind Warning Summary

Issued at Tue Mar 02 23:00:00 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Thu Mar 04 00:59:59 AEDT 2021

Marine Wind Warning Summary for Queensland


Gale Warning for Tuesday for Cooktown Coast, Cairns Coast and Townsville Coast


Strong Wind Warning for Tuesday for Mackay Coast


Hurricane Force Wind Warning for Wednesday for Cooktown Coast


Storm Force Wind Warning for Wednesday for Cairns Coast


Gale Warning for Wednesday for Peninsula Coast


Strong Wind Warning for Wednesday for Townsville Coast, Mackay Coast, Moreton Bay, Gold Coast Waters and Sunshine Coast Waters


The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:45 am EST Wednesday.

Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind, wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
IDQ20712

Flood Warning

Issued at Tue Mar 02 09:48:50 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Wed Mar 03 12:48:38 AEDT 2021

Final Flood Warning for the Mulgrave and Russell Rivers

Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately. Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts The flood classifications at Gordonvale have been increased for the 2019/2020 flood season based on consultation with Cairns Regional Council. The moderate flood level has been increased from 13.00m to 14.55m and the major flood level have been increased from 14.00m to 18.00m.
RIVER LEVELS ARE GENERALLY EASING.

Rainfall totals of up to 150mm were recorded in the 48 hours to 9am Tuesday.

Shower and thunderstorm activity is likely to continue during the next few days.
The Mulgrave River at Peets Bridge is currently at 4.00 metres and falling. The river level will remain below the minor flood level (5.00 m) during Tuesday. The automatic station at Gordonvale has failed. At 8am Tuesday the river level at Gordonvale is expected to have peaked and now be back below minor (12.00 m).

This is a final warning, no further warnings will be issued for this event.

IDQ20720

Flood Warning

Issued at Tue Mar 02 17:54:35 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Wed Mar 03 20:54:28 AEDT 2021

Minor Flood Warning for the Tully and Murray Rivers

Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately. Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
MINOR FLOODING EASING AT EURAMO

No significant rainfall has been recorded across the Tully and Murray River catchments since 9am Tuesday. There remains a chance of showers and a possible thunderstorm for the next few days.
The Tully River at Euramo peaked at 7.40 metres around 12:20 pm Tuesday 02 March and is currently at 7.33 metres and falling slowly. The Tully River at Euramo is expected to fall below the minor flood level (6.00 m) Wednesday morning. The Murray River at Murray Flats is currently at 7.30 metres and rising, with minor flooding. A minor peak is likely in the Murray River at Murray Flats Tuesday evening.

The next warning will be issued by 10:00 am EST on Wednesday 03 March 2021.

IDQ20725

Flood Warning

Issued at Tue Mar 02 17:52:50 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Wed Mar 03 20:52:44 AEDT 2021

Minor Flood Warning for the Herbert River

Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately. Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
MINOR FLOOD LEVELS EASING AT HALIFAX.

Rainfall totals of between 100 - 200 mm were recorded across the lower Herbert River catchment in the 48 hours to 9am Tuesday.

Heavy rainfall from shower and thunderstorm activity is likely to continue during the next few days.
No current readings are available for the Herbert River at Gleneagle, but based on the nearby automatic gauge, it is likely that the Herbert River at Gleneagle is around the minor flood level. The river level is likely to remain around the minor flood level (4.50 m) overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. The Herbert River at Abergowrie Bridge is currently at 6.11 metres and falling. The river level is expected to fall below the minor flood level (6.00 m) overnight Tuesday into Wednesday. The Herbert River at Halifax is currently at 4.47 metres (below the moderate flood level of 4.50 m) and falling. The river level is likely to fall below the minor flood level (4.00 m) overnight Tuesday into Wednesday.

The next warning will be issued by 10:00 am EST on Wednesday 03 March 2021.

IDQ20735

Flood Warning

Issued at Tue Mar 02 09:53:48 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Wed Mar 03 12:53:41 AEDT 2021

Final Flood Warning for the Bohle River

Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately. Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts. Note: The flood classifications for the Ross River at Aplins Weir were adjusted in February 2020 following consultation with council.
RIVER LEVELS HAVE EASED BELOW MINOR AT MT BOHLE

Rainfall recorded in the 24 hour period to 9am Tuesday was up to 19mm, which fell during early Monday evening. There remains a chance of showers and a possible thunderstorm for the next few days.
There are currently no observations at the Mt Bohle (automatic) gauge, but river levels are expected to be below the minor flood level (4.00 m) and falling. The Bohle River at Mt Bohle will remain below the minor flood level (4.00 m) during Tuesday.

This is a final warning, no further warnings will be issued for this event.

IDQ20865

Flood Warning

Issued at Sun Feb 28 12:29:17 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Wed Mar 03 15:29:03 AEDT 2021

Flood Warning for the Diamantina River

Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately. Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
RIVER LEVELS ABOVE CAUSEWAY AT DIAMANTINA LAKES AND MONKIRA

River level rises are occurring along the Diamantina River downstream of Diamantina Lakes as floodwaters move downstream.

No significant rainfall has been recorded over the last week and no significant rainfall is forecast over the next few days.

The next warning will be issued by 03:00 pm EST on Wednesday 03 March 2021.

IDQ20870

Flood Warning

Issued at Mon Mar 01 14:47:00 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Thu Mar 04 17:46:51 AEDT 2021

Final Flood Warning for the Georgina River

Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately. Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Minor flooding is no longer expected on the Georgina River at Marion Downs.

No significant rain is forecast for the next few days for the catchment area for the next few days.
The Georgina River at Marion Downs was at 1.95 metres at 9:00 am Monday and rising slowly. The Georgina River at Marion Downs is expected to peak blow the minor flood level (3.00 m) and remain below the minor flood level during the next few days.

This is a final warning, no further warnings will be issued for this event.

IDQ20885

Flood Warning

Issued at Tue Mar 02 17:55:53 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Tue Mar 02 17:55:53 AEDT 2021

Flood Warning Summary for Queensland


Minor Flood Warning for the Herbert River
Minor Flood Warning for the Tully and Murray Rivers
Flood Warning for the Diamantina River
Flood Watch for the coastal catchments between Cooktown and Rollingstone



Final Flood Warning for the Bohle River

Final Flood Warning for the Georgina River

Final Flood Warning for the Mulgrave and Russell Rivers
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Warnings and River Height Bulletins are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood
Flood Warnings are also available on telephone 1300 659 219 at a low call cost of 27.5 cents, more from mobile, public and satellite phones.
IDQ20900

Flood Warning

Issued at Tue Mar 02 14:18:39 AEDT 2021
for the period until midnight Wed Mar 03 20:18:34 AEDT 2021

Flood Watch for the coastal catchments between Cooktown and Rollingstone

Minor flooding is a low risk across the Flood Watch area during the next few days. If Tropical Cyclone Niran in the Coral Sea returns towards the North Tropical Coast, it may bring further heavy rainfall to the Flood Watch area over the next few days. Some uncertainty remains around the movement of the system. Catchments in the Flood Watch area have recorded significant rainfall over the last week, particularly nearer to the coast, and catchments remain saturated. River levels will respond quickly to further heavy rainfall. Daily rainfall totals of 30-40 mm are most likely, with locally heavy falls up to 100 mm possible, particularly near the coast. Rainfall totals may be higher dependent on the track of the cyclone. Localised flooding and disruption to transport routes are likely to continue throughout the Flood Watch area. Catchments which may be affected by further rainfall include: Flood warnings are current for the following catchments: Tully, Murray and Herbert Rivers
See www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings to view the current flood and cyclone products for Queensland.
For more information on the Flood Watch Service: http://www.bom.gov.au/water/floods/floodWarningServices.shtml

The next Flood Watch will be issued by 02:00 pm EST on Wednesday 03 March 2021.