TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Tropical Cyclone Niran
Community Threat
- Warning Zone
Gales within 24 hours - Watch Zone
Gales from 24-48 hours
Past Cyclone Details
- Past Location and Intensity Number
- Past Track and Movement
Current Cyclone Details
- Current Location and Intensity Number
- Very Destructive Winds
- Destructive Winds
- Gale Force Winds
Forecast Cyclone Details
(Up to 72 hours from time of issue)
- Forecast Location and Intensity Number
- Very Destructive Wind Boundary
- Destructive Wind Boundary
- Gale Force Wind Boundary
- Most Likely Future Track
- Range of Likely Tracks of Cyclone Centre
The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Headline:
Tropical cyclone Niran, category 2, remains slow moving off the north Queensland coast.
Areas affected:
Warning zone: None.
Watch zone: Cape Melville to Lucinda, including Cooktown, Cairns, and Innisfail.
Cancelled zones: None.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Niran at 10:00 pm AEST:
Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 35 kilometres of 14.6 degrees South, 147.8 degrees East
, 335 kilometres northeast of Cairns
and 295 kilometres east northeast of Cooktown
.
Movement: slow moving
.
Tropical cyclone Niran is expected to remain slow-moving off the north Queensland coast while gradually intensifying over the next two days.
Coastal crossing of the cyclone is not expected. However, as the cyclone develops, or if it drifts slightly westwards, it may cause gales about exposed coastal and island communities between Cape Melville and Lucinda overnight on Wednesday.
On Thursday, the cyclone is expected to adopt a southeasterly track and accelerate away from the coast.
Hazards:
GALES with gusts to 100km/h may develop about exposed coastal and island communities between Cape Melville and Lucinda overnight on Wednesday, depending on the movement and development of the cyclone.
Recommended Action:
People between Cape Melville and Lucinda should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).
Details:
Time (AEST) | Intensity Category | Latitude (decimal deg.) |
Longitude (decimal deg.) |
Estimated Position Accuracy (km) |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0hr | 10 pm March 2 | 2 | 14.6S | 147.8E | 35 |
+6hr | 4 am March 3 | 2 | 14.7S | 147.7E | 75 |
+12hr | 10 am March 3 | 2 | 14.8S | 147.6E | 105 |
+18hr | 4 pm March 3 | 2 | 14.8S | 147.5E | 125 |
+24hr | 10 pm March 3 | 3 | 14.7S | 147.4E | 140 |
+36hr | 10 am March 4 | 3 | 14.7S | 147.8E | 180 |
+48hr | 10 pm March 4 | 3 | 15.1S | 149.1E | 225 |
+60hr | 10 am March 5 | 3 | 16.1S | 151.4E | 275 |
+72hr | 10 pm March 5 | 3 | 17.5S | 154.5E | 375 |
Tropical Cyclone information is also available in MetEye
Next Issue
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 5:00 am AEST Wednesday